Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.031252 0.033620 0.035988 0.038528 0.041172 0.043841 0.046735
2025-08-24 0.026430 0.030168 0.034031 0.038304 0.042884 0.047631 0.052907
2025-08-31 0.023419 0.027911 0.032665 0.038038 0.043908 0.050097 0.057086
2025-09-07 0.021182 0.026223 0.031669 0.037934 0.044889 0.052323 0.060822
2025-09-14 0.019040 0.024450 0.030411 0.037382 0.045232 0.053726 0.063543
2025-09-21 0.017206 0.022888 0.029266 0.036841 0.045484 0.054940 0.065972
2025-09-28 0.015343 0.021172 0.027840 0.035883 0.045177 0.055454 0.067554
2025-10-05 0.014686 0.020834 0.027969 0.036671 0.046822 0.058131 0.071532
2025-10-12 0.013853 0.020228 0.027737 0.036999 0.047904 0.060144 0.074740
2025-10-19 0.012815 0.019310 0.027083 0.036787 0.048323 0.061371 0.077030
2025-10-26 0.012441 0.019200 0.027384 0.037694 0.050035 0.064073 0.080996
2025-11-02 0.011778 0.018682 0.027158 0.037941 0.050951 0.065840 0.083881
2025-11-09 0.010842 0.017816 0.026525 0.037745 0.051412 0.067170 0.086379
2025-11-16 0.009978 0.017013 0.025956 0.037623 0.051972 0.068638 0.089074
2025-11-23 0.009128 0.016175 0.025297 0.037351 0.052317 0.069825 0.091418
2025-11-30 0.008419 0.015487 0.024798 0.037249 0.052845 0.071211 0.093982
2025-12-07 0.007593 0.014582 0.023975 0.036702 0.052799 0.071891 0.095695
2025-12-14 0.006839 0.013734 0.023187 0.036168 0.052741 0.072535 0.097348
2025-12-21 0.006003 0.012704 0.022110 0.035220 0.052135 0.072491 0.098161
2025-12-28 0.005809 0.012644 0.022358 0.036000 0.053697 0.075077 0.102117
2026-01-04 0.005481 0.012354 0.022269 0.036324 0.054675 0.076947 0.105213
2026-01-11 0.005010 0.011805 0.021792 0.036114 0.054960 0.077958 0.107269
2026-01-18 0.004900 0.011836 0.022141 0.037011 0.056660 0.080710 0.111432